Columbia, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

792
FXUS64 KOHX 250509
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1209 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1204 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

- Showers and Thunderstorms through Saturday. Risk for severe weather
  remains low.

- Temperatures increasing into the work week, approaching record
  values by mid-week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday Night)
Issued at 1032 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Showers and Thunderstorms are going to continue to be present in
middle Tennessee overnight. A shortwave will eject over the area
Friday, which normally would raise concerns of severe weather.
However, with bulk shear around 30-35 knots, and lapse rates only
around 5-6 C/km, the environment just isn`t adequate for severe
storm development. Looking at soundings, hail would be the biggest
threat from stronger storms, but not expecting more than just
quarter sized out of this environment. On the precipitation side,
PWATs are over 1 inch, approaching 1.5 inches in some guidance.
Concern pivots to a flash flooding threat over a severe threat, as
storms that track over the same area over the course of the day or
stronger storms would produce higher rainfall amounts.

Highs will stay in the 70s through Saturday, as lingering showers
and thunderstorms will be present before clearing on Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 1032 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Sunday is the beginning of a drier and warmer period for middle
Tennessee. By mid-week, highs will warm into the mid to upper 80s,
with the real possibility that record highs are met. With these
temperatures, the afternoon shower and thunderstorm risk will be
present as well, with our next possibility for widespread
precipitation on Wednesday. Since that is about a week out, hard to
be specific with the threats, but it does look more favorable for
severe weather. We will continue to monitor the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1204 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

VFR conditions prevail at this time, but ceilings are still
expected to lower by early morning with widespread MVFR to IFR
conditions by the 11Z to 13Z time frame. Conditions will be slow
to improve throughout the day as widespread showers and
thunderstorms move through the area. Storms will likely exit the
area by 00Z to 02Z, however, ceilings will likely drop to MVFR to
IFR again Friday night with abundant low-level moisture.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      77  62  75  54 /  90  50  40   0
Clarksville    77  59  72  52 /  90  40  20  10
Crossville     72  58  73  48 /  90  70  60   0
Columbia       77  61  77  54 /  80  40  20   0
Cookeville     73  60  72  50 /  90  70  60   0
Jamestown      72  58  71  47 /  90  70  60   0
Lawrenceburg   75  61  77  54 /  90  40  10   0
Murfreesboro   77  61  77  53 /  90  50  40   0
Waverly        76  61  74  53 /  90  40  20  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Clements